Coronavirus lockdown: Life-saving or lunacy? "Lockdown is lunacy," Prof. Yoram Lass, a member of the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, told The Jerusalem Post. "It's impossible to stop a virus by government decree." By MAAYAN JAFFE-HOFFMAN A man wearing a mask walks inside a shopping centre after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government announced that malls, hotels, restaurants and theaters will shut down from Sunday, in an escalation of precautionary measures against coronavirus, in Tel Aviv, Israel March 15, 2020 A government cannot stop a virus, a former Health Ministry director-general said. What stops a virus is natural immunity. "Lockdown is lunacy," Prof. Yoram Lass, a member of the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, told The Jerusalem Post. "It's impossible to stop a virus by government decree." He said that viral pandemics come to an end after the virus spreads throughout the population and those exposed create antibodies. When enough of the population is immune to COVID-19, "the chain of infection is broken and in that way the virus comes to a halt." While the government has espoused hysteria over the last six weeks, most recently slapping a near closure on the entire country, Lass believes that it is wrong to shut down Israel over the novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2. "You will be amazed to know that every year, 17,000 Italians die of flu," Lass told the Post. In Israel, he said, less than 130 people died of flu last year. Italy, he explained, is known to have high morbidity in respiratory problems, more than three times any other European country. In the US, about 40,000 people die in a regular flu season. So far, around 16,000 Italians and less than 11,000 Americans have died from coronavirus. "I won't say how many people will ultimately die from coronavirus," Lass said, but he said that when Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu compares COVID-19 to the "Black Death" plague that struck Europe in the Middle Ages, killing 50 million people, or 60% of Europe's entire population, that is "psychology prevailing over science." Some 350 people die per year in car accidents in Israel, Lass said. "If we stopped driving, we would save lives. Should we save them?" He said the same holds true of people who die in plane crashes or even in the IDF. "Soldiers are killed - should we dismantle the IDF in order to save their lives?" he asked. He said that no states shut down between 2009 and 2010 when as many as 1.4 billion people across the globe were infected with swine flu, as many as 575,000 people, according to the Centers for Disease Protection and Control. Lass believes that the panic today is a result of two factors and the first is social media: "The brainwasher is Mark Zuckerberg," he said referring to the CEO of Facebook. Though he said that Facebook is not the only problematic social platform. "This is the first pandemic, which is real like many we had before, that is happening on the social networks and it has become inflated, it has reached a level of monstrous hysteria," he told the Post. In Israel, he said, this hysteria is compounded by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who he said is locking everyone else up so he can be free. "Coronavirus saved Netanyahu's political life," Lass charged. "He was a morbid politician and now he is talking about the black plague instead of giving everyone the real facts – the facts that I am telling you. It is in Netanyahu's self-interest that we not open back up." But he said that "the economic damage is worse than the health damage." Hagai Levine, associate professor of epidemiology at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Hadassah Medical Center and head of the Israel Association of Public Health, said that he agrees that a full lockdown is not best for Israel. "Surveillance is key to being able to make informed decisions and we don't do it," he told the Post. "In Israel we don't have enough tests, we don't test the right patients and we don't have good surveillance." The result he said is a policy of "better safe than sorry – but at some point, these actions can cause more damage than the coronavirus itself. "Quarantine is one size fits all," he continued. "This is not an optimal solution." 'Nothing can justify this destruction of people's lives' Yoram Lass, former director of Israel's Health Ministry, on the hysteria around Covid-19. 22nd May 2020 Countries across the world have been in lockdown for months in response to the coronavirus pandemic. The costs of the policy are enormous – in terms of life, liberty and the economy. But is it worth it to save lives? Yoram Lass was once the director-general of Israel's Ministry of Health. Lass is a staunch critic of the lockdown policy adopted in his native Israel and around the world. He has described our response to Covid-19 as a form of hysteria. spiked caught up with him to find out more. spiked: You have described the global response to coronavirus as hysteria. Can you explain that? Yoram Lass: It is the first epidemic in history which is accompanied by another epidemic – the virus of the social networks. These new media have brainwashed entire populations. What you get is fear and anxiety, and an inability to look at real data. And therefore you have all the ingredients for monstrous hysteria. It is what is known in science as positive feedback or a snowball effect. The government is afraid of its constituents. Therefore, it implements draconian measures. The constituents look at the draconian measures and become even more hysterical. They feed each other and the snowball becomes larger and larger until you reach irrational territory. This is nothing more than a flu epidemic if you care to look at the numbers and the data, but people who are in a state of anxiety are blind. If I were making the decisions, I would try to give people the real numbers. And I would never destroy my country. spiked: What do the numbers tell us, in your view? Lass: Mortality due to coronavirus is a fake number. Most people are not dying from coronavirus. Those recording deaths simply change the label. If patients died from leukemia, from metastatic cancer, from cardiovascular disease or from dementia, they put coronavirus. Also, the number of infected people is fake, because it depends on the number of tests. The more tests you do the more infected people you get. The only real number is the total number of deaths – all causes of death, not just coronavirus. If you look at those numbers, you will see that every winter we get what is called an excess death rate. That is, during the winter more people die compared to the average, due to regular, seasonal flu epidemics, which nobody cares about. If you look at the coronavirus wave on a graph, you will see that it looks like a spike. Coronavirus comes very fast, but it also goes away very fast. The influenza wave is shallow as it takes three months to pass, but coronavirus takes one month. If you count the number of people who die in terms of excess mortality – which is the area under the curve – you will see that during the coronavirus season, we have had an excess mortality which is about 15 per cent larger than the epidemic of regular flu in 2017. Compared to that rise, the draconian measures are of biblical proportions. Hundreds of millions of people are suffering. In developing countries many will die from starvation. In developed countries many will die from unemployment. Unemployment is mortality. More people will die from the measures than from the virus. And the people who die from the measures are the breadwinners. They are younger. Among the people who die from coronavirus, the median age is often higher than the life expectancy of the population. What has been done is not proportionate. But people are afraid. People are brainwashed. They do not listen to the data. And that includes governments. spiked: Do the lockdowns have any positive effect on people's safety? Lass: Any reasonable expert – that is, anyone but Professor Ferguson from Imperial College who would have locked down everybody when we had swine flu – will tell you that lockdown cannot change the final number of infected people. It can only change the rate of infection. And people argue that by changing the rate of infection and 'flattening the curve', we prevented the collapse of hospitals. I have shown you the costs of lockdown, but this was the argument in favour of it. But look at Sweden. No lockdown and no collapse of hospitals. The argument for the lockdown collapses. spiked: Why have some countries suffered so much more than others from Covid-19? Lass: For example, you can compare Italy to Israel. In the Middle East, this virus is not really working. There are two reasons. One is that there is a very young population, and the other is that the climate is different. In the latitude of 50 degrees, which is Europe, and 40, which is the north-eastern United States, the virus is much more viable. Italy has the oldest population in the world apart from Japan. Italians are also are heavy smokers and very social people – they keep hugging and kissing. If you look at the numbers, in 2017, 25,000 Italians died from flu complications. Now you have around 30,000 dying from coronavirus. So it is a comparable number. You should not ruin a country for comparable numbers. spiked: What has it been like in Israel? Lass: In Israel, we have two layers of fear. The hysteria is similar to the rest of the world. However, we have a prime minister who has been resuscitated by coronavirus by adding another layer of fear. I do not think there is any other prime minister who has spoken about coronavirus in terms of the medieval Black Death, the Holocaust and the end of humanity in this way. Did Boris Johnson mention the Black Death? I do not think so. That is the special situation in Israel. spiked: How does coronavirus compare to past pandemics? Lass: If you look at the 1950s, we had the Asian flu. In the 1960s, there was the Hong Kong flu. These were worse than this pandemic. Also, look at the story of swine flu in 2009, which began exactly the same as coronavirus. A new virus originated in Mexico. There was no vaccine so it was very frightening. It spread all over the world. It infected one billion people. A quarter of a million people died. But there was no lockdown, no Ferguson, nothing – people were far more interested in the economic crisis that hit a year before in 2008. They did not have time to give attention to this nonsense. spiked: Will the pandemic be over soon? Lass: The virus, like the influenza virus, is saying farewell to western Europe for sure. The same in the Middle East. In the United States, we do not know yet, so we should talk in a month from now. But nothing can justify this destruction of people's lives. It is unbelievable. Yoram Lass was talking to Fraser Myers. |